Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c403d3067e69d8d13f56440296c85bb08a23c46c434b27db6d874e4ac66eb1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 4,795$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 3,337$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.31 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 64c | 1,588$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.77 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 1,327$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 1,040$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked No | 70c | 796$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 735$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 722.58$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 648$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 71c | 634.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…a626backed Yes | 35c | 622.38$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 31c | 579$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 33c | 541$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 15c | 493.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 411.32$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 411.27$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 70c | 406.53$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 14c | 382.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 70c | 288$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes | 31c | 258.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 244$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 193.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 9c | 188.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 30c | 167.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 161.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 60c | 160.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked No | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…b9e3backed Yes | 14c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…9e79backed No | 78c | 122.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 119.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f4…1b0cbacked No | 66c | 104.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…8e4fbacked Yes | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 70c | 97.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…c296backed No | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed Yes | 30c | 78.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 52.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…9918backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…6779backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…4c28backed No | 80c | 47.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 24c | 44.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…8b5ebacked Yes | 31c | 42.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 75c | 36.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 35c | 36.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 78c | 36.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…008fbacked Yes | 30c | 35.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 35.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…76e1backed No | 71c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…0d00backed No | 71c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-22?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.