TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No71c13,130$9,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.653,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No63c6,368$4,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.1343344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.991513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9910960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c2,878$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.9544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes37c2,676$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a37…0d89backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes37c2,479$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.9219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes6c2,100$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.462920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-52.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes36c2,050$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73826022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes38c2,000$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.968742.5%37 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes36c1,816$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No63c1,551$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c1,500$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.5391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4442254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c1,093$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No55c1,081$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.835337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No62c1,007$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.642343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3807963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes28c900$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes37c898.4$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4112336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d3…5ea8backed No64c895$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Yes52c740$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No48c680$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.21560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c633.23$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8931849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No64c618.64$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7118049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c604.49$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes36c582.98$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.681250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No64c562$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.326145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No64c494.09$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0842844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87bb…01b9backed Yes37c486.49$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes26c481$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…ce8ebacked Yes27c410.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+59.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1486046.7%28 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No67c395.11$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.977328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes67c370.72$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.385550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes37c370.65$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4160%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes35c337.14$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No63c318$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.662250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1652…a501backed Yes36c294.61$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.06742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes31c293.79$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1410061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes38c260.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992850%14 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+62.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes38c260.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c250.61$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b6…d364backed Yes17c250$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d59…31dcbacked Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c12…8e4fbacked No63c246.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes32c233.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.727644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…df45backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158138.3%31 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4679…bc44backed No62c169.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes37c154.05$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xece5…2b44backed Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No62c147.7$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1311153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes37c140.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.117447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed No63c140$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.82250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes38c131.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.82250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes39c128.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bf…1713backed Yes23c128.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes38c126.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No80c125.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0413666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No62c120$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.68755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a1…2254backed Yes37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc1…b159backed Yes51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes37c107.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67067.1%47 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f4…1b0cbacked No62c106.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.06955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3733349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.824822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No63c99.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.312755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Yes20c98.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c95.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7479532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Yes16c89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked No63c88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No64c85.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9310055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.