TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x750d…566b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
370
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT16356.4%92 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 163 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.17
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.93
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.16
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.31
Alicante: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Max Houkesbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.59
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.89
Miami Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Ugo Humbertbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.88
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.9
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Miami Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptistebacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Miami Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Rafael Jodarbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Asuncion: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Elise Mertensbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$18.06
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machacbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$15.86
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Miami Open: Peyton Stearns vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12.88
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Showing 25 of 163 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.32
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.46
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.78
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Spread: SC Paderborn 07 (-1.5)backed SC Paderborn 07 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$13.32
Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-1.5)backed Karlsruher SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+188.9%+$34
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.12
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52.7
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100.9%+$45.2
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+136.5%+$102.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$35.7
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$25.36
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+153.8%+$30.3
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$51.91
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$127.82
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.27
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$25.76
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.2
Will FC København win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.4%+$69.21
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+733.3%+$88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+185.7%+$29.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+257.1%+$43.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+30.9%+$9.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.79
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$13.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.8
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.96
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.33
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+111.5%+$18.45
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$53.7
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+64.4%+$31.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.92
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37.7%+$12.04
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Will FCSB win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.8%+$39.45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.23
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$10.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+75.5%+$27.5
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.09
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.73
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$18.25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.1
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+40.2%+$4.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+74.9%+$12.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.4%+$4.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$53.72
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.9
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.81
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+165.5%+$37.4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+34.2%+$15.46
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$46.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+64.1%+$25.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-70%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.79
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.7%+$12.35
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.67
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.5
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$11.15
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$145.9
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+82.2%+$16.17
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+27.7%+$6.5
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$11.3
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$53.9
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.95
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.65
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+53%+$31.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-64.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.87
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$35.55
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.9%+$7.6
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.6
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$6.62
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.21
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$11.1
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Unicaja vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+242.9%+$42.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.