TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Alicante: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Max Houkes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Max Houkesof Daniel Merida Aguilar, Max Houkes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,496 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Houkes44c10,895$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.146,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00027952.3%146 W · 133 L-19.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar42c4,181$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.4211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar26c2,493$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar69c2,213$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.462,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Max Houkes25c1,724$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.111,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Daniel Merida Aguilar59c1,687$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3817936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf370…4f88backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c1,518$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15160%0 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Daniel Merida Aguilar15c1,365$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.553441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Daniel Merida Aguilar44c1,316$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.0650731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Daniel Merida Aguilar63c1,296$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.3150156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Max Houkes23c1,250$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.9616029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar76c1,127$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.0365959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Max Houkes21c1,043$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.912,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7402152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar63c863.82$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.211,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Max Houkes9c844.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.444443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar59c840$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5559165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar47c821.43$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.982,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Max Houkes27c799.56$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.492,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c766.23$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.441,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Daniel Merida Aguilar27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Max Houkes65c679$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Max Houkes63c662$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7634744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Daniel Merida Aguilar17c587.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.371,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Merida Aguilar71c586.06$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.698,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Daniel Merida Aguilar29c521.13$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.792,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c518.87$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3834940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Merida Aguilar12c518.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.326,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Max Houkes26c509.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.781,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Max Houkes44c455$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.83737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Daniel Merida Aguilar71c397.19$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c386.62$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.110156.4%57 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar6c323.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017930.7%55 W · 124 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Daniel Merida Aguilar73c301.37$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024065%156 W · 84 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar66c296.04$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.116443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Max Houkes63c290$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.360856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Max Houkes26c277.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1158639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Max Houkes20c272.93$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9367836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Daniel Merida Aguilar75c270.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7311158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Max Houkes41c251.52$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.362,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Max Houkes55c247.59$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9413748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x077f…b971backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c237$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.431553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Max Houkes42c229.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.284,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Merida Aguilar35c225.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.953,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar37c218$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6612553.6%67 W · 58 L+12.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+41.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Max Houkes24c194.16$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.341,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar67c181.84$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3334950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c161.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.85952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Max Houkes23c150$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Max Houkes19c148.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.511,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Max Houkes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8571165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Daniel Merida Aguilar11c137.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c135.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar74c135.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033155.6%184 W · 147 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar74c135$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.938268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Max Houkes26c134.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.41,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Max Houkes24c131.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7115354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar73c130$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.91,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Max Houkes24c129.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3759440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Daniel Merida Aguilar12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8410…9713backed Daniel Merida Aguilar72c121.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Max Houkes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Daniel Merida Aguilar11c118.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.363959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…145ebacked Max Houkes26c113.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.84634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc934…e226backed Max Houkes21c111.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.061250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c0…92d8backed Daniel Merida Aguilar74c110.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821225%3 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Max Houkes13c110$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.75054%27 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Max Houkes52c101.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9264637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f76…e24cbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar72c101.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.89825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Daniel Merida Aguilar26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.259522.1%21 W · 74 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Daniel Merida Aguilar12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Daniel Merida Aguilar73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7341272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Max Houkes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Daniel Merida Aguilar73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7318447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Daniel Merida Aguilar20c99.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Max Houkes26c94.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4498055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Max Houkes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5966452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74a…34c8backed Max Houkes17c88.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.87933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Merida Aguilar33c87.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.896,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Max Houkes35c86.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2457252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Max Houkes27c84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0154434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed Daniel Merida Aguilar68c82.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde48…accbbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar70c81.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.847254.2%39 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ce…ed5abacked Daniel Merida Aguilar73c80.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025661.3%157 W · 99 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Max Houkes27c77.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.447,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar63c76.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.632,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Daniel Merida Aguilar74c68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3253457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…df06backed Daniel Merida Aguilar73c67.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Daniel Merida Aguilar60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Max Houkes66c66.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5615954.1%86 W · 73 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Max Houkes36c64.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.357237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Max Houkes21c63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.771,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.