Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80ae4aa2a11b6c402f8a44968b9f8d0163c9acd154978ff7004bc539983cf0e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenof FC Bayern München, Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,934 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 6,574$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 68c | 5,206$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 59c | 4,465$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.65 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 3,802$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.64 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 63c | 2,742$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 57c | 2,075$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.27 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed FC Bayern München | 27c | 1,992$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.55 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 10c | 1,368$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…ce5bbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,027$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.05 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 57c | 932.11$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.81 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142b…c8c9backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 814.89$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked FC Bayern München | 3c | 801.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 686.05$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked FC Bayern München | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 520.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed FC Bayern München | 34c | 442.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 410$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.2 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 71c | 402.67$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 359.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FC Bayern München | 32c | 340.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern München | 25c | 333.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…075abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 80c | 333$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 59c | 319$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.79 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 240.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…5fa2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 59c | 234.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…d841backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 57c | 211$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 57c | 209.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 60c | 208.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed FC Bayern München | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 197.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 176.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791b…6e13backed FC Bayern München | 16c | 168.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 162.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 119.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked FC Bayern München | 15c | 102$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 82.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 76.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 69.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 62c | 65.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 58.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…21f7backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 50.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…ba0bbacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 47.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed FC Bayern München | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…d95bbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked FC Bayern München | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 57c | 46.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 42.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…5e45backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 59c | 38.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -7.6wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4434…3e10backed FC Bayern München | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 30.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 29.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked FC Bayern München | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 71c | 25.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 64c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 22.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 76c | 19.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 58c | 19.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 67c | 14.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 73c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.