Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x524ba65dfd709449492f0f4e573fd632b1b375982a0498268399fc0897f2f575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 32,118$5,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,201.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 4,122$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.72 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 79c | 1,529$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.82 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,442$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed Yes | 62c | 1,300$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 1,252$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.42 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,176$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.68 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 31c | 1,147$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.12 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 21c | 1,048$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,041$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.92 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…7543backed No | 11c | 872.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 769.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 19c | 738.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.83 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 77c | 693.58$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 56c | 600$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 519.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed No | 24c | 516$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 75c | 512.56$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 3c | 509.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 474.01$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 11c | 443.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 61c | 409.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 64c | 341.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 4c | 329.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 37c | 316.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed No | 33c | 306.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 68c | 305.28$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…6685backed Yes | 69c | 294.89$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 71c | 290$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…22b5backed No | 38c | 256.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Yes | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…8dfabacked Yes | 49c | 230.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…dc8fbacked Yes | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 72c | 199.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 37c | 189.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked No | 15c | 179.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 34c | 179.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 47c | 175.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 11c | 175.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 10c | 172.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 62c | 161.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 62c | 161.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Yes | 66c | 150.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 32c | 141.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 33c | 139.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 62c | 129.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 62c | 113.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 61c | 107.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 57c | 103.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed No | 40c | 100.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 95.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 73c | 88.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 14c | 86.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…2669backed Yes | 62c | 80.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Yes | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 68c | 73.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Yes | 54c | 71.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 29c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…1c3fbacked No | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…f0b0backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 33c | 56.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 71c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…634cbacked Yes | 55c | 54.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Yes | 50c | 49.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…47fcbacked Yes | 62c | 48.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 55c | 45.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…dd8bbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 37.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 49c | 36.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…b88ebacked Yes | 67c | 30.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…714dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed No | 38c | 28.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…149bbacked Yes | 61c | 27.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 63c | 26.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.