Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e381e8bcbc766cd3815b9d3a315943c190b8232bd60e032059d4c2466bc873d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,594,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,594,286 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 497,407$263,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,624.63 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 54c | 200,000$109,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,999.75 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 97,307$45,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,686.8 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 82,351$37,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,773.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 48c | 77,384$37,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,311.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 74,387$34,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,425.31 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 53c | 63,546$33,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,810.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 49,997$25,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,998.62 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…5102backed Over | 0c | 46,290$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 48c | 29,048$13,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,105.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 47c | 19,434$9,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,300.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Under | 48c | 18,946$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,945.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Under | 47c | 17,830$8,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 17,792$8,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,413.65 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…a7fdbacked Under | 48c | 12,494$5,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 47c | 10,595$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 46c | 10,140$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 10,064$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.02 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.95 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 9,233$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 47c | 7,643$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 7,063$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.1 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 7,021$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 7,000$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.98 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…14e0backed Under | 49c | 5,098$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 47c | 4,728$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 49c | 4,485$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 3,806$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.4 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Under | 47c | 3,800$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 47c | 3,755$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 3,741$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.34 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…cf7bbacked Under | 47c | 3,468$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.49 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 76c | 3,283$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 3,190$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.11 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 49c | 2,741$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 48c | 2,580$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 2,447$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 46c | 2,392$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 56c | 1,976$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 1,800$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.41 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 49c | 1,721$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 1,712$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.75 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 72c | 1,530$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 22c | 1,487$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.9 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 54c | 1,219$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.84 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Under | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 71c | 990.63$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 49c | 984$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 38c | 968.69$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 966.71$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.69 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 45c | 918.31$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 47c | 909$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.54 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 888.77$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.05 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 45c | 857.69$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.08 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over | 56c | 844.64$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 48c | 834.42$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 799.88$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.93 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 49c | 709$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.53 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 693.52$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.23 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 53c | 658.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 48c | 639$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 45c | 637.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.44 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 48c | 615.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.22 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 49c | 611.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 48c | 565$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 545.47$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.52 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 47c | 530.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 512.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.22 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 32c | 503.42$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.63 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.