TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbba…e651

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Commodities, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 52 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will White House post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$42.43
Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.1
Will White House post 140-159 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$34.95
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$22.41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.21
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$34.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.98
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.6
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+215.3%+$23.89
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$20.1
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.49
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.63
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$50.12
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.22
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 20 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$19.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Juárez vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.