Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311008807b4b85a705e6ffbfc268fa38a031966632dbe9cda1908880a709db43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 37c | 4,020$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.14 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 50c | 1,455$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.67 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 44c | 751.07$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.31 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 57c | 579.25$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 31c | 431.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 431.14$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.87 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 59c | 381.56$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 64c | 359.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 31c | 358.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 344.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 258$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 242.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 119 | 32.8%39 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…63afbacked Yes | 32c | 234.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 62c | 226$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed No | 66c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…5976backed Yes | 77c | 187.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 180.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 35c | 163.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 48c | 155.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 34c | 150.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…67b8backed Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 141.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 72c | 138.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 70c | 135$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 34c | 128.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…e64fbacked Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 45c | 113.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 43c | 110.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 25c | 104.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 33c | 101.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 47c | 101.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 143 | 14.7%21 W · 122 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 76c | 98.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Yes | 66c | 95.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 63c | 80.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 148 | 64.9%96 W · 52 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 34c | 80.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…08edbacked Yes | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +101%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 66c | 74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 23c | 65.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 73c | 63.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…ce38backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…ee95backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 68c | 56.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed No | 58c | 56.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 30c | 54.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…6105backed No | 58c | 54.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 63c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 73c | 52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 50.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…021ebacked Yes | 72c | 49.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed Yes | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 47.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 33c | 46.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 40c | 46.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 47c | 45.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…38e2backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 55c | 37.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…2646backed No | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 47c | 36.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…2215backed Yes | 59c | 36.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed No | 56c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 57c | 35.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 33.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Yes | 70c | 31.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 44c | 31.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 73c | 30.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…2963backed No | 69c | 30.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 34c | 30.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 37c | 29.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 29.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…9a0dbacked No | 47c | 28.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd51…6a52backed No | 68c | 26.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…0cfdbacked Yes | 54c | 26.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 68c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 26.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6d…9128backed No | 68c | 25.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 69c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…35d7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…e8d0backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b660backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…16dfbacked No | 59c | 19.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 58cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 70c | 18.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.