Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ecb894479a12f0bd9a345aba34ae9139ea37fb2b7c7b3cc9af3d590e86d99f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 39c | 2,152$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.64 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 42c | 1,500$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.48 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 66c | 688.79$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 5c | 540$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 63c | 470.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 442.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 73c | 388.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 344.85$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 34c | 280.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 41c | 254.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 79c | 199.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed Yes | 14c | 180.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed Yes | 31c | 155.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 155.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 45c | 154.94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 154$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 18c | 147.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed No | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 72c | 123.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 57c | 117.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 107.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…46c2backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 52c | 80.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…eec3backed Yes | 36c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 68c | 72.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 78c | 71.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 276 | 47.8%132 W · 144 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 21c | 69.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…6798backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 77c | 62.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed No | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 56.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 38c | 55.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed No | 78c | 55.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 46.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked Yes | 37c | 45.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 71c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed Yes | 25c | 41.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 78c | 40.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…77a4backed Yes | 54c | 34.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 51cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 65c | 32.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 143 | 14.7%21 W · 122 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 51c | 29.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…3103backed Yes | 50c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked No | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…fadebacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 62c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…f580backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 77c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 64c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.