TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3dd2…9ab1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT9153.8%49 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.34
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$123.53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+139.5%+$78.13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$46.43
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.68
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$59.7
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.94
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$37.76
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$21.12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$10.32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.72
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+57%+$23.22
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.92
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$36.75
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$23.7
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$133.66
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+900%+$284.39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$95.14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$95.14
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.66
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$21.19
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.47
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+201.2%+$39.41
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.74
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.8
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.28
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$542.56
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,356.04
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$1,233.45
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$155
Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.93
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$89
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$90.78
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.86
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.56
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+51.5%+$37.64
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$27.23
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.89
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$20.24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$40.75
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.56
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+229.5%+$186.5
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$6.64
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.13
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$127.98
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.54
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.47
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$6.9
Will Iraq be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$365.75
Portugal to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Second half draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$61.18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.08
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.14
Morocco leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Morocco vs. Madagascar: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$118.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.64
Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.86
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74.88
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$26.88
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$57
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.3
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$71.25
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.19
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$127.05
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Will Nancy Lacore be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Will Mitchell Jacob be the Democratic nominee for OK-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Jeff Pixley be the Democratic nominee for OK-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38.78
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.44
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$89
Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$81.46
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+135.3%+$20.76
Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.98
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.44
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$127.38
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.22
Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$40.96
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.48
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$58.07
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.13
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$28.51
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$10.68
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$36.24
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.34
Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+882.3%+$421.25
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$36.14
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$122.95
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.12
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33%+$359.18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.59
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.51
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$23.9
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.17
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.92
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.46
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.9
Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$173.85
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.04
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$95.85
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.27
All 8 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+115.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+212.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.25
Will Australia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+239%+$669.72
Will India win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.29
Will Zimbabwe win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev Win the Cincinnati Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.84
Will Novak Djokovic Win the Cincinnati Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$80.58
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$152.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marcus Thuram win Serie A Player of the Month for April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al-Nassr win Saudi Professional League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam South Africa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$34.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.