World Politics · resolved market
Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac7e59c98cf6c4ed3ec2005ed9c855c7c4e9732fd095849d45a12d20c62ad2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed Yes | 71c | 4,172$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 26c | 2,100$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 62c | 1,750$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.91 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 33c | 1,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…8e0ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,020$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 28c | 1,004$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 71c | 415$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.29 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 400$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 6c | 385.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.85 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 29c | 333$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 66c | 290.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 28c | 205$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 197.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 54c | 197.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 69c | 184.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 32c | 180$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 41c | 156.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 31c | 155$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 53c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 133.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…cab1backed Yes | 71c | 122.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed No | 38c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 42c | 110.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 103$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…085ebacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…26eabacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 70c | 93.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…ea51backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…925ebacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 51c | 46.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 34c | 45.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…7b18backed Yes | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 31c | 32.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 76c | 32.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…aac9backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 71c | 28.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…1a2cbacked Yes | 76c | 23.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +134%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 65c | 21.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…752abacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…1e60backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…525fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…0db2backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…86f7backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…1675backed Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?this page
- Will Floriana Natale win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.