Fifa International · resolved market
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f8e80fe4015d3c3acc2d153c65e7aad6c75e1f64169a57c02023f5430c91cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 28c | 2,003$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…2995backed Yes | 34c | 1,515$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +351.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 78c | 1,364$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.94 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes | 19c | 969.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 780.82$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa603…1103backed Yes | 29c | 769.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 74c | 765$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 652.88$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 29c | 501.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 472.06$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 454.25$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 14c | 423.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 26c | 413.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 28c | 352.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 9c | 347.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 336$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 27c | 329.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…96edbacked Yes | 33c | 322.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +156%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…6498backed Yes | 28c | 319.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 8c | 309.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 9cpaid | +820.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 303.11$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 301.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed Yes | 24c | 255.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 223.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 57c | 193.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 189.74$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 30c | 165.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 22c | 152.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 147.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 39c | 141$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…74debacked Yes | 29c | 124.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 123.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 110.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 72c | 108$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…d0e6backed Yes | 24c | 105.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 103.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eab…b576backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 68c | 88.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 73c | 88.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 22c | 88.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…6850backed Yes | 28c | 84.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…032fbacked Yes | 37c | 81.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Yes | 23c | 77.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…0479backed No | 60c | 74.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 80c | 71.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 71c | 70.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 20c | 57.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 72c | 50.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…dcfdbacked Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 80c | 43.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 70c | 40.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420f…9090backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 29c | 39.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 67c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 77c | 29.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 71c | 28.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 72c | 28.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 73c | 26.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed No | 71c | 25.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked No | 49c | 21.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 71c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 17.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked No | 71c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bukayo Saka win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Declan Rice win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Pedri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Vitinha win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.