Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3bdcf422b886240b03a86ca18854b09d7e5db1a51693f702d7378b53e5bc63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 9,670$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.75 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed No | 5c | 5,678$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 19c | 5,461$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.26 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 14c | 3,555$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.07 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,643$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.81 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 44c | 2,492$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.93 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,313$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.9 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,152$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…4d41backed Yes | 2c | 1,109$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +336.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 957.84$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.94 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 5c | 738.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.66 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 12c | 717.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.67 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 42c | 684.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 578.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.93 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 28c | 561.24$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.34 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 73c | 552.42$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.39 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 547.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.44 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Yes | 8c | 525.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.09 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 22c | 521.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 6c | 506.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.86 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 7c | 462.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 440$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 14c | 413.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 21c | 403.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.79 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 5c | 402.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.05 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 30c | 392$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 29c | 374.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 16c | 335$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 7c | 307.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.73 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…c573backed Yes | 28c | 307.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 32c | 303$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 7c | 300.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 52c | 283.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 37c | 268$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 61c | 264.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 47c | 257.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 49c | 211.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 13c | 204$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 15c | 200.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Yes | 17c | 194.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 77c | 192.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…9403backed Yes | 10c | 156.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed No | 10c | 150.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 65c | 145$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 11c | 127.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 127$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2f…7964backed Yes | 13c | 119.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 55c | 115.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…0aa7backed Yes | 35c | 113.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 57c | 113$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 18c | 111.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 76c | 107.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8e…b6aabacked Yes | 20c | 106.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 93.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 93.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 85.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…965ebacked Yes | 31c | 80.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed No | 21c | 74.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Yes | 23c | 67.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes | 17c | 66.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 40c | 64.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…28d2backed Yes | 33c | 60.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2565…ab87backed Yes | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 63c | 57.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 71c | 52.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 51.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e65…cfb7backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 60c | 48.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 48c | 41.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 251 | 60.6%152 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 63c | 40.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 37c | 38.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 35c | 38.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed No | 35c | 33.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 52c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 67c | 21.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bukayo Saka win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Declan Rice win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Pedri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Vitinha win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.