TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,188 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83dd…06d2backed Yes2c14,125$310 inLost-$310.2514635.6%52 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3887…7f5bbacked Yes5c2,734$132 inLost-$132.212821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,380$26 inLost-$25.597799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes8c868.17$72 inLost-$72.092268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick42cpaid+81.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes8c761.59$58 inLost-$57.682920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes6c489.2$31 inLost-$30.7379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes5c398.63$19 inLost-$18.918411.9%10 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick13cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes4c366.66$15 inLost-$15.18563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes13c296.6$39 inLost-$38.7188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes13c281$36 inLost-$35.991,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c274.42$12 inLost-$11.98,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No69c220.98$153 inWon+$67.8715445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes11c200.74$22 inLost-$21.5313437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b5…1a84backed Yes20c158.24$32 inLost-$322213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes12c154.05$19 inLost-$18.832,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes12c152.72$19 inLost-$19.0475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes37c150$55 inLost-$54.758161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9b…7da8backed Yes7c140.26$10 inLost-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes12c101.58$12 inLost-$12.121517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes14c99.46$14 inLost-$13.9312038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes27c50$14 inLost-$13.56426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-56.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No73c50$37 inWon+$13.543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.