TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Lamine Yamal win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,097 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes6c5,084$321 inLost-$320.5188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c2,680$198 inLost-$198.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…2995backed Yes10c2,564$244 inLost-$243.75425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+351.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa603…1103backed Yes11c1,138$124 inLost-$124.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes3c609.1$20 inLost-$20.138411.9%10 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick13cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes6c596.26$38 inLost-$38.0875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes5c492.05$26 inLost-$26.4992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes4c446.83$17 inLost-$16.54563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes4c408.59$18 inLost-$18.096216.1%10 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d07…33d4backed Yes4c400$18 inLost-$17.91915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes9c301.3$26 inLost-$2621517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes6c253.49$15 inLost-$15.471674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd8e…b6aabacked Yes9c250.47$22 inLost-$22.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+119.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes9c116.31$10 inLost-$1045736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.