Fifa International · resolved market
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e2b528d30b18809ade963e18fd07f39d4cfe2c1c55172a0b526cb758f5e127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 20,457$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,456$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.31 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,438$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.54 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 44c | 1,933$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.77 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…f6b1backed Yes | 57c | 1,547$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 1,467$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.88 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 46c | 1,393$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.46 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 37c | 1,164$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.95 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 1,057$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.57 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 44c | 896.78$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 4c | 797.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 780.65$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 42c | 764.61$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.26 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 2c | 622.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 40c | 599.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 60c | 597.77$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.32 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…d8f8backed Yes | 53c | 544.04$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…32e5backed Yes | 61c | 529.67$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 54c | 522.58$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.29 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…7dfebacked Yes | 61c | 488.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 473.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…0479backed Yes | 53c | 460.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 2c | 452.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 47c | 407.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 396.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 75c | 348$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.66 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 68c | 342.65$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 341.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 28c | 326.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…c7dcbacked Yes | 61c | 325.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 321.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…6498backed Yes | 47c | 320$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…c573backed Yes | 26c | 307.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…f6e0backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 281.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 57c | 272.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 19c | 261.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 21c | 260.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 38c | 260.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…b333backed Yes | 45c | 260.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 256.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…41c9backed Yes | 79c | 254.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 49c | 237.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…3b79backed Yes | 62c | 236.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 235.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…bbe7backed No | 56c | 233.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 60c | 228.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…aa25backed Yes | 55c | 224.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 63c | 221.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…299cbacked Yes | 61c | 214.03$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2565…ab87backed Yes | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 39c | 209.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 78c | 183.74$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 58c | 173.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bc…7bbebacked Yes | 61c | 166.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…4c9bbacked Yes | 60c | 165.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 61c | 164.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 56c | 163.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 58c | 160.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed No | 19c | 152.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 64c | 147.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 44c | 136.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…ca73backed Yes | 60c | 132.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 116$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 45c | 115.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 73c | 115.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 57c | 113.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed No | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 32c | 112.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b82…9ed2backed Yes | 55c | 111.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +325.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 44c | 107.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 58c | 103.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 38c | 101.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…33f5backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 72c | 97.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 94.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 45c | 93.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 35c | 89.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 37c | 88.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 44c | 86.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 14c | 80.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 65c | 77.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 41c | 76.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…ed30backed Yes | 62c | 74.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 28c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8621…6850backed Yes | 47c | 71.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 39c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 43c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…cf16backed Yes | 51c | 63.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 43c | 62.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 37c | 60.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…42d4backed Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3913…5015backed Yes | 59c | 58.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 65c | 52.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 38c | 51.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…4149backed No | 44c | 51.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bukayo Saka win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Declan Rice win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Harry Kane win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Pedri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Vitinha win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.