Movies · resolved market
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df6697a560ccb59f3a80850267a740ec4cc9414ee2bd683f0ab50ec6fff8463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 53c | 6,193$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 32c | 3,854$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.61 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 71c | 2,986$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.3 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 36c | 2,525$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.26 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…9811backed Yes | 80c | 2,267$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,177$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.95 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 24c | 1,477$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.22 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,300$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 1,224$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 1,200$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 61c | 1,099$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.26 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 22c | 1,003$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 32c | 970.12$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.9 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 30c | 761.65$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…ed99backed Yes | 39c | 705.01$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.48 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 70c | 699.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…309abacked No | 57c | 667.57$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed No | 5c | 646.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 646.22$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.7 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 61c | 512.29$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 494.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed No | 11c | 489.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 53c | 483.32$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.73 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 395.55$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 23c | 359.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed No | 3c | 349.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 19c | 346.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 14c | 323.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 4c | 313.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…5adabacked No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 72c | 292$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 60c | 285$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 284.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 38c | 261.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 70c | 244.16$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb92…5c74backed No | 5c | 232.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 199.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 42c | 186.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 164.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 156.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 37c | 145.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 46c | 138.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 65c | 101.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 56c | 100.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 18c | 94.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 28c | 93.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 85.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 24c | 83.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 72c | 79.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 72c | 65.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…c234backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…2b17backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…c3c1backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 64c | 48.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…0b8dbacked Yes | 44c | 45.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 60c | 43.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 69c | 42.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 39.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 37.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked No | 67c | 37.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7605backed Yes | 36c | 34.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed Yes | 45c | 33.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 59c | 32.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 58c | 32.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 80c | 30.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 76c | 26.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 46c | 25.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 76c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 46c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…8108backed Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Yes | 57c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked No | 54c | 18.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 17.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 111 | 84.7%94 W · 17 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6afcbacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?this page
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?No won
- Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.