Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8647b1a7127ef841a180a34f2853678a072a95e04e98698e8e7ccb004b915e

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $327,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $299,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,926 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	47c	14,607$6,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,767.92	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	72c	13,251$9,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,663.44	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b7…a014backed No	68c	8,804$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	34c	6,563$2,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,221.81	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed Yes	48c	6,070$2,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,131.57	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	39c	5,493$2,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,347.18	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	41c	4,091$1,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,432.3	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	36c	4,000$1,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,574.4	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	29c	3,384$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,394.22	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	32c	3,349$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,284.17	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	32c	3,300$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,253.91	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	32c	3,295$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,235.9	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	36c	3,130$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.61	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	47c	3,128$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,658.44	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	66c	3,127$2,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.33	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	66c	3,114$2,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,062.48	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	20c	2,946$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,358.41	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	50c	2,581$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,284.32	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	39c	2,552$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551.58	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	14c	2,500$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,139.98	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	51c	2,395$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.49	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	27c	2,368$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.17	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	69c	2,352$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,617.12	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	23c	2,224$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,712.49	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	31c	2,148$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,471.57	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	34c	2,135$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,416.77	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes	30c	1,997$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,405.12	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes	40c	1,986$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.11	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	9c	1,882$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.66	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	57c	1,871$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.03	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	1,858$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.27	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	44c	1,695$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.21	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	36c	1,689$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.34	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	33c	1,626$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.22	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa562…6581backed Yes	42c	1,525$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.16	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d5…d80abacked Yes	39c	1,468$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.71	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	25c	1,418$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.34	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81cd…4882backed Yes	74c	1,378$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.13	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	35c	1,307$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.41	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	17c	1,300$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	35c	1,222$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.33	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	47c	1,200$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.49	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	1,148$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.28	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked Yes	55c	1,143$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.28	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	1,062$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.6	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	28c	1,062$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.27	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	15c	1,045$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.89	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed No	55c	1,025$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.38	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	34c	1,009$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.88	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	29c	979.99$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.99	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	9c	957.98$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.51	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	32c	951.22$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.26	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed Yes	61c	950$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.5	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	35c	945$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.38	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	42c	937.02$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.55	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No	73c	925.39$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.27	131	61.8%81 W · 50 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes	65c	895.49$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.8	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed No	52c	877.45$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.17	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	31c	875.68$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.27	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…425bbacked Yes	16c	840$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.6	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	67c	838.99$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.48	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	836.05$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.79	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fb…8eb0backed Yes	49c	830.21$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.57	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xece3…19ddbacked Yes	72c	827.73$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffdd…40debacked No	66c	822.39$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	62c	796.86$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.87	156	31.4%49 W · 107 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes	74c	773.93$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.14	125	48%60 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	53c	766.44$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.63	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	61c	744.86$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.4	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	12c	728.08$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.71	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	69c	723.99$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.88	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	14c	723.02$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.8	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	79c	701.96$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.55	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	41c	697.76$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.21	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	8c	691.72$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.76	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	22c	678.32$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.96	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	31c	647.2$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.93	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	30c	646.32$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.07	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49e2…0124backed Yes	64c	632.94$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.49	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa45f…4f97backed Yes	67c	631.9$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.54	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed No	29c	614.43$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.5	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked No	17c	609.99$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.8	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	25c	607.57$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.57	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	28c	606.16$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.62	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed Yes	66c	600$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	66c	599.99$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.99	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6de…8d6abacked Yes	65c	598.12$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.33	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes	68c	588.52$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.75	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dec…001ebacked Yes	54c	582.35$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.35	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf829…0688backed Yes	78c	580.12$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.97	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	70c	575.46$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.49	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6f6…0e74backed No	37c	573.1$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.98	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89a2…4092backed Yes	58c	563.79$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x408a…ac7fbacked Yes	59c	560.6$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.61	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	57c	521.83$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.49	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	32c	506.99$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.69	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3107…fe91backed Yes	64c	500$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ef9…d9b1backed Yes	60c	500$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event