TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7fb…8eb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Earnings, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3215.6%5 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+174.3%+$97.21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.74
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.74
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+434.2%+$370.71
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.85
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.9
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.2
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$425.24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.28
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.02
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$30.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$198.74
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.45
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$161.67
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.27
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+168.2%+$150.5
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.39
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$63.67
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.49
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$62.69
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29%+$17.97
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$56.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$24
Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$22.8
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.47
Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.6
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$43.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.