Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2a97dd956e70c9c4abda30d2864588ece0c7213013eb3fa664b88509ff829b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 53c | 67,963$36,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,729.34 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 60c | 18,404$10,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,410.21 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…f6bebacked No | 2c | 14,776$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 43c | 14,000$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,009.98 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 46c | 12,604$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 35c | 12,112$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.95 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.78 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 60c | 9,214$5,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.14 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 41c | 8,910$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,281.88 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 23c | 8,158$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.12 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 5,723$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.66 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…9712backed Yes | 54c | 5,534$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.94 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b3c1backed No | 4c | 5,187$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked No | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 43c | 4,699$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.08 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 69c | 4,250$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.56 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…bf08backed No | 8c | 4,171$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 63c | 3,981$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.09 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1169backed Yes | 52c | 3,435$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 38c | 3,271$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.7 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 6c | 3,197$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 65c | 2,987$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 2,929$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.23 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 33c | 2,719$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,632$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.15 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…daf8backed No | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed Yes | 33c | 2,298$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 50c | 2,241$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 21c | 2,221$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 34c | 2,181$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.98 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed No | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 11c | 1,956$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.43 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 1,922$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.52 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 7c | 1,733$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 1,696$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.83 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 44c | 1,620$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 2c | 1,606$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…b68cbacked No | 2c | 1,597$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 21c | 1,570$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.03 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 1,542$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.73 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 27c | 1,504$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 34c | 1,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed No | 54c | 1,347$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed No | 9c | 1,345$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 9c | 1,326$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed No | 34c | 1,262$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 51c | 1,249$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.46 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 31c | 1,200$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed No | 1c | 1,189$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 1,113$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,105$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.23 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 1,080$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a025backed No | 42c | 1,023$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,019$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.81 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 2c | 1,011$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 79c | 999.97$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.48 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 50c | 991.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 59c | 976.5$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.47 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 974.9$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked Yes | 54c | 922.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 41c | 920.33$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 913.92$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.43 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 75c | 903.68$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 894.3$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.46 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed No | 36c | 869.67$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 21c | 865.16$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 25c | 860.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 33c | 835.29$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 36c | 834.41$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed Yes | 37c | 821.91$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…eb36backed Yes | 57c | 819.2$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 809.88$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.64 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 39c | 772.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 747.72$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.74 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…d338backed Yes | 69c | 721.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 718.28$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6b02backed No | 53c | 713.97$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 62c | 700.25$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.55 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…fbd8backed Yes | 14c | 696.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +248.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…f3febacked Yes | 29c | 679.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 48c | 668$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 76c | 665.51$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 30c | 664.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.85 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 23c | 652.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 18c | 643.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.48 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 23c | 625$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…fe91backed No | 9c | 624.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed No | 5c | 613.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 28c | 612.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 584.65$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.78 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 68c | 580.32$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…fcc4backed No | 36c | 572.25$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…bc06backed Yes | 50c | 559.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…8eb0backed Yes | 70c | 545$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 33c | 532.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.72 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b4…8914backed Yes | 19c | 510.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +433%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 38c | 508.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…df56backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.