Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaea1a1bf894943be142a67208cef16bc1f17d8e2812f75407ff1b4ea3de9052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2097…fe91backed Yes | 0c | 31,451$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b3c1backed Yes | 0c | 26,151$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 1c | 25,283$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd214…7d30backed Yes | 0c | 20,039$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…f5abbacked Yes | 0c | 18,642$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…1a1cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,282$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 11,363$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109d…1fc7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…a11ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,079$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…19d7backed Yes | 2c | 5,731$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 1c | 4,616$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,639$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 6c | 2,276$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,875$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 1c | 1,853$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…3fe9backed Yes | 2c | 1,442$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…b6dbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 1,211$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…2345backed Yes | 9c | 1,162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 7c | 1,136$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…9795backed Yes | 4c | 1,035$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 921.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099b…bf38backed Yes | 11c | 807.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 564.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 5c | 559.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2e84backed Yes | 4c | 487.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…b45fbacked Yes | 7c | 408.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 7c | 381.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…2b17backed Yes | 3c | 361.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Yes | 4c | 329.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 5c | 228.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 7c | 183.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 10c | 150.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.