Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1953a89faf278a95cdecb968ed9941f7cf3e9fd3c27eb4f57efa2cc533cfdf36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 88,642$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.32 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b3c1backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 11,520$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 12c | 6,929$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.67 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 3c | 6,593$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 3c | 5,462$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…fe91backed Yes | 2c | 5,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 4c | 3,870$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 5c | 3,698$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,599$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b136backed Yes | 1c | 3,054$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,679$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…3862backed Yes | 8c | 2,344$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 5c | 1,998$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 1,992$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9294…1112backed Yes | 2c | 1,473$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3d3abacked Yes | 19c | 1,460$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…5b53backed Yes | 12c | 1,334$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,308$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 18c | 1,289$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 8c | 1,271$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 28c | 1,250$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 1,211$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb629…374ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,163$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 10c | 950$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 3c | 904.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 10c | 891.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4c7dbacked Yes | 3c | 769.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed Yes | 16c | 760.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed Yes | 21c | 705.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 11c | 700$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…08e5backed Yes | 4c | 690.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…cb46backed Yes | 12c | 682.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 21c | 668.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…19d7backed Yes | 5c | 638.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked Yes | 17c | 627.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 16c | 604.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 3c | 551.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 4c | 537.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 16c | 508.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 16c | 507.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 502.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…9b37backed Yes | 5c | 490.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 3c | 479.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…f0b0backed Yes | 18c | 424.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 18c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 14c | 399.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…1660backed Yes | 3c | 382.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…43bfbacked Yes | 20c | 379.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 4c | 341.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 17c | 338.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 16c | 307.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…a4aabacked Yes | 21c | 297.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 18c | 290.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…2345backed Yes | 18c | 281.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 5c | 280.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…8220backed Yes | 18c | 278.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 270$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…a0f2backed Yes | 15c | 249.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 78c | 235$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 11c | 221.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…aad2backed Yes | 5c | 220.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 19c | 220$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 10c | 214.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 206$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 5c | 202.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 20c | 199.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 77c | 176$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2072…dfe2backed Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…1dbbbacked Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 155$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…5c96backed Yes | 13c | 148.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 21c | 142$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 10c | 125.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…cdd9backed Yes | 21c | 117.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6091…0b10backed Yes | 9c | 117.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 21c | 114.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2ffebacked No | 79c | 113.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Yes | 21c | 113.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…8e09backed Yes | 18c | 112.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474d…0fc0backed Yes | 13c | 110.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…698bbacked Yes | 19c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…34c6backed Yes | 19c | 107.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 19c | 104.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked Yes | 19c | 104.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…172abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…f093backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d8…372abacked Yes | 21c | 97.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 16c | 91.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.