Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193527bfb9953be4560caec92060146de431ddf4e7715c1c229ab160905b70e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 20,297$12,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,417.66 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 27c | 10,070$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.41 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 9,127$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.87 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 6,322$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 5,414$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.37 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…f6bebacked Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed Yes | 26c | 4,014$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.79 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,650$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 3,301$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.79 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 3c | 3,240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 61c | 3,052$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.06 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 25c | 2,885$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.11 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,826$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.57 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…fe91backed Yes | 1c | 2,781$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b136backed Yes | 1c | 2,637$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b3c1backed Yes | 4c | 2,449$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 33c | 2,300$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 12c | 2,266$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.28 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 1,972$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.3 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 28c | 1,929$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.25 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…a11ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,910$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 65c | 1,660$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.54 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 1,452$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.75 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 74c | 1,387$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.1 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,255$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 50c | 1,252$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 26c | 1,250$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 46c | 1,204$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.41 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…1b6cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…6267backed Yes | 3c | 1,079$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 1,059$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.09 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 1,051$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 980.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 69c | 918.63$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 66c | 890.72$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.54 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 10c | 881.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 78c | 824$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 23c | 801.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 27c | 800$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.45 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 788.18$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 69c | 776.88$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 760.47$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.44 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 734$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 19c | 709.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…fbd8backed Yes | 14c | 706.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +248.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 34c | 700$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…07a3backed Yes | 6c | 660.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 5c | 630.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 598.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb629…374ebacked Yes | 34c | 530.69$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed No | 79c | 510$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…df56backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 42c | 499.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 69c | 464.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…c3f7backed Yes | 31c | 463.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…d61fbacked Yes | 20c | 451.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 16c | 448.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 33c | 440.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 407.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 14c | 405.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 74c | 405$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 18c | 401$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 61c | 382.56$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 25c | 370.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed Yes | 24c | 368.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 14c | 367.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 70c | 361.02$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 359.63$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 54c | 325$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 309.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 18c | 307.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…c95cbacked Yes | 17c | 292.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 29c | 274.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 22c | 270$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 25c | 263.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…3862backed Yes | 21c | 262.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 21c | 249.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 27c | 243.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 29c | 242.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed No | 54c | 241.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 63c | 221.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 13c | 211.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 30c | 206$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed Yes | 24c | 204.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…2345backed Yes | 20c | 192.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 21c | 189.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…34c6backed Yes | 12c | 179.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 14c | 170.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 69c | 162.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 22c | 156.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3b06backed Yes | 23c | 156.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…7a24backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 79c | 147.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 18c | 144$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.