Movies · resolved market
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb604bc03f837d31cc7d476c5e7477fa241f8e311e42a805141cabb28ffcf64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a9c…b3c1backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…fe91backed Yes | 0c | 16,257$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 14,099$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 7c | 9,305$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 2c | 5,665$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 1c | 5,049$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 1c | 3,064$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…54d7backed Yes | 16c | 2,741$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b136backed Yes | 0c | 2,574$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,940$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 1,810$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.57 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 10c | 1,676$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,244$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…f308backed Yes | 2c | 1,087$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 17c | 1,067$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…19d7backed Yes | 3c | 1,062$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,041$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 19c | 1,002$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.91 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 927.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 2c | 853.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…fbb6backed Yes | 23c | 845.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 74c | 822.82$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 20c | 773.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…c177backed Yes | 13c | 773.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 8c | 700.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…57aabacked Yes | 11c | 650.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 648.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…b0d6backed Yes | 20c | 598.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 13c | 587.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed No | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…67dbbacked Yes | 23c | 557.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 28c | 504.9$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474d…0fc0backed Yes | 28c | 472.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 16c | 402.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 77c | 398$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes | 5c | 384.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Yes | 8c | 381.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 74c | 348.79$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 339.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 9c | 299.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 270$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…9a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 215.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 18c | 206.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 10c | 139.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 23c | 129.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 18c | 119$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 12c | 109.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Yes | 21c | 109.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 14c | 104.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 101.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed No | 80c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 13c | 82.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed Yes | 20c | 66.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 76c | 66.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 20c | 50.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 75c | 17.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2ffebacked No | 72c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…99bdbacked No | 80c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?this page
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?No won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes won
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.