TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6640…2ffe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+34.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$166.23
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$190.01
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$127.4
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41.06
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$161.52
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$77
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$51.52
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$12.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$49.95
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.12
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$86.73
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$31.62
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.33
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$67.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$93.81
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$543.02
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$252
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$212
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$108.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$126.4
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$75.11
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+57.8%+$18.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-42%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$62.71
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$136
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$35.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.75
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.1
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$45.45
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$69.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick42cpaid+148.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+288%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+548.1%+$2,632.31
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28%+$176.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+172.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$360
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$147.1
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+566.7%+$114.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+66%+$59.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$169.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.