TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$568,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$642,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Lynn Vision38c100,000$38,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,999.9214050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed MIBR62c61,381$37,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,438.7420153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Lynn Vision37c50,440$18,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,801.5323839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked MIBR63c31,359$19,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,602.9638358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed MIBR73c30,683$22,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,179.0210361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Lynn Vision37c29,989$11,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,096.0475452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lynn Vision28c29,162$8,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,100.671,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Lynn Vision39c20,941$8,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,107.513351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.9850054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MIBR62c15,996$9,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,078.3675758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MIBR63c15,900$10,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,88333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed MIBR62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+39.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Lynn Vision37c15,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.9816245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Lynn Vision38c15,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9516449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MIBR62c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Lynn Vision37c12,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.997646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR63c11,000$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,09075350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed Lynn Vision38c8,702$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.761533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed MIBR61c8,200$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,19819455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MIBR63c7,969$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.4933359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed MIBR63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.5120448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Lynn Vision39c7,752$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed MIBR65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.312564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed MIBR63c6,400$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.6619055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Lynn Vision37c5,555$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.3415947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Lynn Vision38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Lynn Vision18c5,229$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.866647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked MIBR62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Lynn Vision37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Lynn Vision38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked MIBR63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.99454.3%51 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR61c3,652$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.155,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MIBR62c3,548$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.3948350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Lynn Vision38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33066551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MIBR67c3,500$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Lynn Vision18c3,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9911434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Lynn Vision15c3,423$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.349335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Lynn Vision38c3,289$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.7960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed MIBR62c3,267$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.348951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Lynn Vision28c3,258$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.027941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed MIBR62c3,244$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.3236450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed MIBR62c3,115$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.221854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked MIBR63c3,100$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14727658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR61c3,030$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.381,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830c…675dbacked Lynn Vision17c2,972$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.366251.6%32 W · 30 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lynn Vision19c2,707$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.471,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed MIBR60c2,700$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.5224262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d94…9b81backed Lynn Vision14c2,603$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR64c2,583$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.8436453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed MIBR61c2,560$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.47751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Lynn Vision22c2,510$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked MIBR63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92523653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed MIBR62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95017162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Lynn Vision38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95013732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked MIBR62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3525261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed MIBR63c2,381$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.9510359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7881…83e9backed MIBR62c2,182$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR63c2,129$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.7364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked MIBR61c2,115$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.8717540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Lynn Vision38c2,100$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.491,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Lynn Vision22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97b…879dbacked MIBR56c1,999$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.393666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Lynn Vision36c1,944$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9911435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MIBR62c1,813$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.9255843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Lynn Vision22c1,804$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9388746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Lynn Vision37c1,750$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.441,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed MIBR62c1,726$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.8119245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lynn Vision28c1,669$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.946,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed MIBR62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.927657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked MIBR62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Lynn Vision35c1,612$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.2411439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed MIBR62c1,599$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.7526054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Lynn Vision20c1,595$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.041,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed MIBR61c1,587$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.4212451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Lynn Vision38c1,577$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Lynn Vision19c1,555$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Lynn Vision37c1,543$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.65,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64fb…e06ebacked Lynn Vision46c1,522$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Lynn Vision17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25511838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed MIBR63c1,500$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed MIBR57c1,412$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.7934848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Lynn Vision6c1,357$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2951842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Lynn Vision38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Lynn Vision20c1,292$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.424339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Lynn Vision22c1,262$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.591,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Lynn Vision22c1,252$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4419659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31e0…c68abacked MIBR62c1,240$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked MIBR63c1,233$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.3312143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision25c1,225$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.014,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5020…36fcbacked MIBR63c1,221$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.754961.2%30 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Lynn Vision34c1,212$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Lynn Vision38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9825145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Lynn Vision38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.922055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR66c1,161$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.851,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166c…bf05backed MIBR62c1,125$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d19…bb47backed Lynn Vision38c1,121$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Lynn Vision39c1,028$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0810449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed MIBR63c1,025$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2535054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed MIBR62c1,016$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.139157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Lynn Vision39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.