CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bac5d7e43477dd3cd756e6b6664833b2f58a6a6929f54d5de3d003611f81760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9718…ffd8backed Over | 30c | 349.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 77c | 293.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 292.93$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 59c | 258.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 255.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8636…94d9backed Under | 72c | 250.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 40c | 210.13$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 28c | 203.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Under | 52c | 189.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 70c | 188.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 54c | 91.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 59c | 86.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 45c | 85.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Over | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…c7c1backed Over | 55c | 54.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 37c | 54.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…32debacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 49.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 43.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…72f5backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 75c | 40.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 75c | 40.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed Under | 65c | 38.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…d27cbacked Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1MIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.