TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x751b…73fdbacked Lynn Vision63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9725655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MIBR61c8,000$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.393,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR52c8,000$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.524,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked MIBR37c7,731$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.9621655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Lynn Vision58c5,000$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.9898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed MIBR20c4,036$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.0165546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Lynn Vision40c3,858$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54335745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Lynn Vision32c3,844$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.1910452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MIBR27c2,250$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.51,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ffd…d27cbacked Lynn Vision60c2,167$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.612055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed MIBR18c2,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64029340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Lynn Vision64c1,964$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed MIBR17c1,953$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.527139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2690…4089backed MIBR19c1,930$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.152352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Lynn Vision51c1,825$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.749941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Lynn Vision22c1,714$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.361,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked MIBR37c1,592$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.3213371.4%95 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked MIBR37c1,427$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.9835940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f44…c584backed MIBR37c1,019$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+137.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Lynn Vision63c965.3$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.581,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed MIBR37c920.69$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.0327950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MIBR37c773.06$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.975,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed MIBR37c675.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6811551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed MIBR37c588$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.448348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed MIBR16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Lynn Vision61c472$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.950947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Lynn Vision56c461.15$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2482146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Lynn Vision66c440.12$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6916544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked MIBR21c425.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.399848%47 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Lynn Vision38c400$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Lynn Vision39c400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked MIBR37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed MIBR38c393.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6619238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked MIBR51c392.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6717850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed MIBR34c373.32$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3918254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Lynn Vision66c315$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.915646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Lynn Vision38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11441050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Lynn Vision65c299.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9991945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Lynn Vision38c295$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1845240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Lynn Vision30c294.93$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.539035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Lynn Vision64c262.14$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8416346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Lynn Vision35c256.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.891943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Lynn Vision22c255$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2537149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Lynn Vision63c252.05$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.792,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Lynn Vision61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12219152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Lynn Vision61c179.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11024451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked MIBR53c157.81$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1748845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Lynn Vision44c157.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026048.5%126 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed MIBR36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6210650.9%54 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed MIBR35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6544552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Lynn Vision46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1713351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed MIBR36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6413435.8%48 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Lynn Vision63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6358254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked MIBR58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427337%27 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Lynn Vision37c78.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1835054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Lynn Vision59c73.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4651348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Lynn Vision39c63.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7370042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb084…be70backed Lynn Vision36c58.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.165824.1%14 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed MIBR63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3512041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a6…602fbacked MIBR39c54.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.482737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Lynn Vision27c51.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b81…cdc0backed MIBR36c49.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.782147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbc…d388backed Lynn Vision62c49.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Lynn Vision63c47.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9936846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Lynn Vision69c44.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9425747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f98…18dabacked Lynn Vision74c39.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked MIBR51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Lynn Vision64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Lynn Vision64c38.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512049.2%59 W · 61 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd10…99b9backed MIBR43c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.526100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26a8…8a98backed MIBR37c37.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Lynn Vision40c35.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3211221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Lynn Vision35c34.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213324.8%33 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed MIBR37c34.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.669861.2%60 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64b…e453backed MIBR63c31.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.873470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed MIBR38c31.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1513754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed MIBR36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Lynn Vision60c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Lynn Vision64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lynn Vision66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Lynn Vision64c18.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0837855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.