TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b81…cdc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.2
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$28.89
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$12.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$31.78
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+115%+$12.53
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$10.53
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$7.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$53.8
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$7.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+405.3%+$45.83
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$14.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.