TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Sparksof PortlandFire, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfbf…821abacked PortlandFire0c53,450$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire27c40,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.9713950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked PortlandFire5c30,800$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5689318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Sparks73c28,811$21,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,800.4623245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked PortlandFire2c15,085$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.710923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Los Angeles Sparks73c15,062$11,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,024.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed PortlandFire26c14,747$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,855.5778548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire5c14,406$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9734726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed PortlandFire28c11,850$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,337.971947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked PortlandFire3c10,030$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed PortlandFire0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire1c10,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.444915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Sparks71c8,074$5,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.6640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked PortlandFire20c7,604$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.18825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a9…e073backed PortlandFire29c6,850$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Sparks73c5,236$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.0432049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed PortlandFire25c5,120$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2804450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Los Angeles Sparks66c5,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Sparks73c4,975$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.6120947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked PortlandFire29c4,800$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.672615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Los Angeles Sparks75c4,279$3,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Sparks72c4,157$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.0336154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Los Angeles Sparks74c3,821$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.464365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire16c3,805$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49a…ff17backed Los Angeles Sparks66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed PortlandFire40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9913538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed PortlandFire28c2,736$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked PortlandFire29c2,162$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.0818746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed PortlandFire28c1,800$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Los Angeles Sparks73c1,702$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.749549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked PortlandFire31c1,665$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.1331448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire11c1,647$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9625246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Los Angeles Sparks67c1,639$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.731861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire31c1,531$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.6813844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Los Angeles Sparks72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire28c1,492$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41383748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed PortlandFire31c1,465$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.917050%35 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PortlandFire24c1,375$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.9221446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Los Angeles Sparks77c1,298$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.01580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed PortlandFire27c1,273$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.042030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Los Angeles Sparks73c1,195$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed PortlandFire26c1,149$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed PortlandFire29c1,119$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.441833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd61…e592backed PortlandFire28c1,070$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Los Angeles Sparks72c1,056$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.795156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Los Angeles Sparks72c1,007$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.944763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed PortlandFire9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed PortlandFire23c999.91$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.981723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…d0a8backed Los Angeles Sparks75c937.21$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.431758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed PortlandFire25c883.83$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.584831.3%15 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks71c841.48$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.011,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed PortlandFire30c830.1$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Sparks71c818$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.222958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked PortlandFire29c814.36$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2366237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Los Angeles Sparks71c785.92$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Los Angeles Sparks72c771.66$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.062152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked PortlandFire40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed PortlandFire25c700$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1775942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Los Angeles Sparks73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9322967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Sparks75c670.67$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.636749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…9733backed PortlandFire28c658.61$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed PortlandFire29c623.79$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8113143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c30…34f5backed Los Angeles Sparks71c618.28$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.562965.5%19 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked PortlandFire29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17411840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed PortlandFire40c557$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks72c554.51$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d0…72f8backed PortlandFire14c547.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd31…39a8backed Los Angeles Sparks73c542.8$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.06966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…1082backed Los Angeles Sparks61c534$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Los Angeles Sparks75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3310144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfedc…32d8backed PortlandFire38c528.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Los Angeles Sparks58c525.38$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.668551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks71c506.85$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.361,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed PortlandFire8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed PortlandFire41c487.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Los Angeles Sparks72c468.67$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.392948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked PortlandFire28c434.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Los Angeles Sparks73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Los Angeles Sparks73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962572%18 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked PortlandFire39c409.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.831414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed PortlandFire28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Sparks75c397.04$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.267647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c5…034dbacked Los Angeles Sparks64c383.23$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.05875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire26c381.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3816633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Los Angeles Sparks71c381$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire24c377.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3519031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Los Angeles Sparks60c360$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1446467.2%43 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked PortlandFire28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007946.8%37 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed PortlandFire20c356.4$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.75431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed PortlandFire36c351$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked PortlandFire3c336$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0814936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c4…989abacked Los Angeles Sparks73c335.76$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.42060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Los Angeles Sparks60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.332222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed PortlandFire29c313.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.265633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed PortlandFire18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+90.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked PortlandFire41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Los Angeles Sparks61c295.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.081428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Los Angeles Sparks70c290.23$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Sparks74c281.46$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Los Angeles Sparks75c269.58$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.922853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.