WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b6715b1a4b507aba1278d033b6555dc85cd31fcb62ea463c7720e6e0a62b33a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Los Angeles Sparks, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 27,339$13,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,951.62 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire | 50c | 12,443$6,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,221.26 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 8,235$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 7,888$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed PortlandFire | 51c | 7,063$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PortlandFire | 51c | 6,800$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.01 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 4,644$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.96 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed PortlandFire | 51c | 4,524$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.11 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed PortlandFire | 51c | 3,430$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.29 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 2,818$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.24 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed PortlandFire | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…e30ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 2,243$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,972$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.53 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked PortlandFire | 52c | 1,871$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.59 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed PortlandFire | 50c | 1,809$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.37 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 1,476$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.47 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 815.86$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.93 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 673.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 40c | 597.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.86 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed PortlandFire | 57c | 577.01$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed PortlandFire | 43c | 502.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed PortlandFire | 51c | 488$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 480$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 448.7$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 401.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed PortlandFire | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…5c13backed Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 277.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed PortlandFire | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked PortlandFire | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed PortlandFire | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked PortlandFire | 50c | 166.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PortlandFire | 51c | 152$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed PortlandFire | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 100.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 99.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 95.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked PortlandFire | 28c | 83.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed PortlandFire | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed PortlandFire | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 65.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…1f59backed PortlandFire | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 42.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed PortlandFire | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked PortlandFire | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed PortlandFire | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…daaebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 58c | 36.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 44c | 32.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed PortlandFire | 64c | 29.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 27.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 26.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed PortlandFire | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 22.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed PortlandFire | 51c | 21.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 20.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…e566backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)this page
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.