WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530bb6b1f5425cfa59f079c05e2048b17df6e0c4dfa2bef477c5c4adcda671dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.93 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 13,305$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 4,331$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,889$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.19 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 33c | 2,079$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.29 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 1,499$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.81 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 30c | 1,099$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 799.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Under | 70c | 666.1$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 33c | 564$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 553.24$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.15 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5c6ebacked Over | 33c | 470.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…d64cbacked Over | 33c | 309.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Under | 57c | 252.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 33c | 243.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 44c | 204.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 181.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 25c | 121.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 33c | 89.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 33c | 84.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 29c | 47.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 32c | 41.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…8b7ebacked Over | 33c | 38.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 47c | 38.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 63c | 37.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 68c | 36.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 30.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Under | 75c | 23.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 49c | 22.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…a285backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.