WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ccf645c479cb64cdb8f7be62350a02cac2fca85edfc923f0906db5478c406ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over | 47c | 4,083$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Under | 54c | 2,632$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.72 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 1,420$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.81 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.86 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 48c | 1,044$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 46c | 801.3$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 655.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 327.72$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 45c | 269.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 54c | 210.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 44c | 96.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 43c | 93.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Under | 54c | 92.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 57c | 89.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Under | 70c | 87.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 82.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 53c | 55.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 51c | 42.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 39.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 45c | 38.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 56c | 34.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.