WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab558431e25acc23d1526703897c2852606667e02001c76cd6e558cffcfa828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Los Angeles Sparks, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed PortlandFire | 59c | 3,359$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 2,755$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 2,728$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.83 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PortlandFire | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 1,317$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.55 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Los Angeles Sparks | 40c | 760$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed PortlandFire | 54c | 737.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed PortlandFire | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 49c | 443$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed PortlandFire | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 54c | 273.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 256$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PortlandFire | 45c | 231.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed PortlandFire | 68c | 144.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked PortlandFire | 55c | 127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked PortlandFire | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PortlandFire | 54c | 85.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 79.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed PortlandFire | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 61.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed PortlandFire | 56c | 54.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 50.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed PortlandFire | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed PortlandFire | 50c | 20.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)this page
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.