WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcba66dfae632c06d2d4b361ece0b4bf3d20266b0e4b1ca0b23bdd15a8c6f1bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 54c | 1,596$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.39 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,185$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.81 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 503$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 438.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.03 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 305.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 47c | 298.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Under | 55c | 272.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 238.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 46c | 191.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 60c | 165.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 143.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 49c | 92.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 69c | 63.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Under | 56c | 55.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 55c | 45.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 41c | 32.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 45c | 29.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…7aefbacked Under | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 43c | 26.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 53c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 47c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 57c | 19.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 174.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-8.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.