CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a067da293edbaed03ba0ca1e1159ee9892f11315b1ea3a263094eddba221fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof Astralis, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $833,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $909,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $833,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 687 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed paiN | 60c | 128,197$77,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,807.26 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Astralis | 60c | 96,285$58,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,187.27 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed paiN | 39c | 84,108$32,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,305.86 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked paiN | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis | 60c | 50,000$30,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,199.9 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Astralis | 36c | 41,491$15,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,067.79 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Astralis | 38c | 31,140$11,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,719.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Astralis | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.97 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 19c | 24,235$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,494.62 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed paiN | 40c | 19,500$7,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,704.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN | 57c | 17,365$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,464.93 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Astralis | 60c | 16,626$9,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,975.63 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN | 62c | 15,567$9,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed paiN | 40c | 14,343$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,582.92 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…7799backed Astralis | 37c | 13,608$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed paiN | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.94 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis | 59c | 11,763$6,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,963.8 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Astralis | 60c | 10,642$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,385.2 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed paiN | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebaf…b654backed paiN | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed paiN | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.93 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed Astralis | 31c | 9,837$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.92 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 59c | 9,720$5,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN | 70c | 9,434$6,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Astralis | 46c | 9,048$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked paiN | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Astralis | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…cf6fbacked Astralis | 37c | 7,926$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked paiN | 40c | 7,550$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.2 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed paiN | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Astralis | 38c | 7,010$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Astralis | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Astralis | 37c | 6,649$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Astralis | 67c | 5,954$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Astralis | 50c | 5,952$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Astralis | 9c | 5,802$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.47 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed paiN | 41c | 5,252$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.47 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed paiN | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.93 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Astralis | 37c | 4,550$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.5 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Astralis | 64c | 4,500$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.67 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked paiN | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Astralis | 29c | 4,473$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.23 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…c5b5backed Astralis | 37c | 4,428$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Astralis | 2c | 4,303$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed paiN | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked paiN | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Astralis | 61c | 4,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.99 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…ace5backed paiN | 40c | 4,000$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN | 46c | 3,692$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.97 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked paiN | 63c | 3,579$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.08 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed paiN | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.98 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Astralis | 37c | 3,459$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.82 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 49c | 3,433$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.91 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Astralis | 56c | 3,402$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.32 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed paiN | 52c | 3,360$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.18 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Astralis | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Astralis | 65c | 3,093$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed paiN | 63c | 3,077$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.49 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked paiN | 44c | 3,000$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.12 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked paiN | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed paiN | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed paiN | 62c | 2,859$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.42 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Astralis | 58c | 2,836$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.69 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Astralis | 38c | 2,720$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.6 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Astralis | 60c | 2,550$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed paiN | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.97 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Astralis | 36c | 2,434$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked Astralis | 37c | 2,430$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed paiN | 50c | 2,354$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.06 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Astralis | 2c | 2,353$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Astralis | 60c | 2,328$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.8 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked Astralis | 43c | 2,309$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.88 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed Astralis | 55c | 2,280$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.54 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Astralis | 46c | 2,171$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Astralis | 37c | 2,151$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 57c | 2,000$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.74 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Astralis | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Astralis | 55c | 2,000$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.99 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Astralis | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed paiN | 39c | 1,909$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.48 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…ab00backed paiN | 38c | 1,809$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…cf41backed Astralis | 37c | 1,786$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN | 69c | 1,673$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.93 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Astralis | 60c | 1,653$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Astralis | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Astralis | 15c | 1,592$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Astralis | 63c | 1,562$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.02 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Astralis | 43c | 1,541$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.14 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Astralis | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…fc3dbacked paiN | 61c | 1,442$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 40c | 1,425$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.33 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 44c | 1,412$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.31 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Astralis | 60c | 1,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed Astralis | 38c | 1,395$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.1 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed paiN | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed paiN | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked paiN | 40c | 1,248$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.96 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.