CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48494cd5998da71850da8eb86e78722d4c78392ade54a2ef25e510957cc185a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb417…d931backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 1,994$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.09 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Under | 46c | 1,675$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.84 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 34c | 1,034$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.37 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 382.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…b105backed Over | 54c | 367.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 52c | 330.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 48c | 319.73$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 51c | 294.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Over | 63c | 243$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.83 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 44c | 235$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…eb59backed Under | 63c | 205.69$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 48c | 176.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 36c | 156.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Under | 51c | 153.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked Over | 64c | 131.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 49c | 101.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…84d0backed Over | 41c | 60.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3a…9c1ebacked Over | 50c | 52.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 50c | 45.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 44.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 41c | 34.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Under | 52c | 28.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3072backed Over | 49c | 25.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Over | 50c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…ba19backed Over | 50c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…46d6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2paiN won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.