CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f4279cbe7ca05ba671dc39c429873d75e9e364114fcb5eff1716a99846832f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof Astralis, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis | 27c | 90,005$24,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,665.69 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed paiN | 54c | 18,166$9,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,397.64 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked paiN | 60c | 16,523$9,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.42 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 42c | 13,858$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.34 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked paiN | 46c | 10,935$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.44 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed paiN | 37c | 10,253$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.81 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Astralis | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.98 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Astralis | 63c | 9,919$6,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,248.76 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed paiN | 36c | 8,996$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.03 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 47c | 6,706$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,530.7 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked paiN | 40c | 6,000$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.87 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 61c | 4,813$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.4 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed paiN | 42c | 4,572$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.82 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Astralis | 62c | 4,269$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…e850backed Astralis | 1c | 4,240$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 1cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked paiN | 36c | 3,825$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 36c | 3,681$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.8 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed paiN | 48c | 3,373$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.91 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Astralis | 59c | 3,349$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.7 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed paiN | 41c | 2,587$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.22 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Astralis | 62c | 2,424$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 1c | 2,250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN | 38c | 2,244$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.02 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN | 43c | 2,145$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.31 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked paiN | 44c | 2,019$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.44 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed paiN | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Astralis | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Astralis | 29c | 1,968$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.4 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Astralis | 62c | 1,661$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.21 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed paiN | 36c | 1,658$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.94 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…c2f5backed Astralis | 7c | 1,640$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 69c | 1,637$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.32 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Astralis | 61c | 1,632$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.6 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Astralis | 36c | 1,510$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.8 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Astralis | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…79f8backed Astralis | 7c | 1,505$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Astralis | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed paiN | 39c | 1,378$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.15 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Astralis | 27c | 1,360$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a8…a8adbacked paiN | 37c | 1,321$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Astralis | 35c | 1,295$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.07 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Astralis | 51c | 1,273$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.6 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed paiN | 71c | 1,250$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.68 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed paiN | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 2c | 1,229$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Astralis | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Astralis | 40c | 1,184$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.76 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 6c | 1,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN | 36c | 1,045$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.78 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed paiN | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed paiN | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.28 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Astralis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Astralis | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Astralis | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked paiN | 36c | 927.78$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.78 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Astralis | 51c | 910.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Astralis | 3c | 899.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Astralis | 32c | 896.8$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…b6c4backed Astralis | 7c | 855.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Astralis | 63c | 835.7$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.49 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked paiN | 73c | 832.86$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.14 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Astralis | 58c | 822.83$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.24 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed paiN | 71c | 794.74$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.48 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Astralis | 65c | 750$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Astralis | 63c | 737.24$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.38 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Astralis | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Astralis | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 38c | 699.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed paiN | 38c | 621.03$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.09 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Astralis | 61c | 555.74$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed paiN | 38c | 555.26$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…24b5backed Astralis | 6c | 550$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…5edebacked Astralis | 41c | 549.07$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 33c | 524.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…5090backed paiN | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1691backed Astralis | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed paiN | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Astralis | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked paiN | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Astralis | 41c | 491.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked paiN | 61c | 485.47$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked Astralis | 43c | 477.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Astralis | 15c | 473.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked paiN | 71c | 471.92$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis | 28c | 464.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Astralis | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 58c | 450$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed paiN | 37c | 433.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.82 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 31c | 419.87$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Astralis | 17c | 412.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked paiN | 78c | 402.11$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed paiN | 44c | 400$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Astralis | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed paiN | 75c | 379.27$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Astralis | 53c | 375$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed paiN | 52c | 374.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Astralis | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2paiN won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.