CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bb4d81ee02773faad2632580e9e8ca240f3e59e9e823ab847c8341632c1b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof Astralis, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $529,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 48c | 39,586$19,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,027.64 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 60c | 19,663$11,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,709.85 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed paiN | 43c | 19,500$8,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,116.02 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed paiN | 42c | 16,666$6,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,724.38 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked paiN | 42c | 12,263$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,066.44 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis | 69c | 12,045$8,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,288.27 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 29c | 11,261$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.15 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked paiN | 44c | 10,592$4,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,906.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astralis | 46c | 10,423$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.61 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis | 46c | 8,095$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.75 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Astralis | 69c | 8,081$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Astralis | 38c | 7,862$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.45 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis | 59c | 6,238$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.81 | 453 | 57.2%259 W · 194 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked paiN | 54c | 6,159$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.04 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed paiN | 65c | 5,557$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.84 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed paiN | 48c | 5,112$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.61 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Astralis | 48c | 4,801$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.31 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 39c | 4,468$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.18 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked paiN | 36c | 4,169$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.46 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Astralis | 78c | 4,032$3,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.68 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked paiN | 46c | 3,771$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.19 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 61c | 3,750$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.71 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Astralis | 46c | 3,399$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.96 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 38c | 3,293$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.78 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed Astralis | 62c | 3,099$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 52c | 2,821$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.14 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed paiN | 53c | 2,805$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.94 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 50c | 2,692$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.98 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN | 59c | 2,662$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.04 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed paiN | 47c | 2,475$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.72 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Astralis | 52c | 2,261$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.8 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Astralis | 55c | 2,054$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.03 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked paiN | 54c | 2,050$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.47 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…8ed1backed Astralis | 64c | 2,015$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.34 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked paiN | 40c | 2,005$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203 | 201 | 41.8%84 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 53c | 2,004$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.85 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed paiN | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 43c | 2,000$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.45 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed paiN | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.92 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked paiN | 44c | 1,873$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.63 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Astralis | 51c | 1,848$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked paiN | 44c | 1,819$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.07 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Astralis | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed paiN | 54c | 1,763$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed paiN | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed paiN | 48c | 1,550$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.49 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Astralis | 39c | 1,514$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.33 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed paiN | 34c | 1,505$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.29 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Astralis | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN | 51c | 1,490$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.26 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed paiN | 48c | 1,350$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed Astralis | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Astralis | 52c | 1,258$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.39 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed paiN | 48c | 1,228$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed paiN | 66c | 1,180$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.16 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Astralis | 48c | 1,162$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.56 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 24c | 1,115$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed paiN | 45c | 1,102$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.79 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ba…f9d3backed paiN | 63c | 1,065$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Astralis | 52c | 1,056$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked paiN | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed paiN | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.82 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked paiN | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Astralis | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed paiN | 67c | 1,018$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Astralis | 51c | 1,004$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.01 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Astralis | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Astralis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Astralis | 54c | 976.7$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.22 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed paiN | 51c | 974.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.36 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked paiN | 44c | 944.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.28 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Astralis | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed paiN | 75c | 899.98$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 44c | 885.38$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked paiN | 34c | 884.9$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.09 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked paiN | 57c | 878.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.18 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked paiN | 50c | 823.04$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.52 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked paiN | 44c | 814.73$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.4 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked paiN | 53c | 810.79$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.79 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed paiN | 57c | 788.03$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.19 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked paiN | 49c | 780$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.6 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed paiN | 43c | 780$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked paiN | 49c | 778.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.71 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed paiN | 49c | 755.1$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.1 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked paiN | 41c | 750$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed paiN | 43c | 725.33$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked paiN | 49c | 703.14$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.6 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed paiN | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 52c | 687.16$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.63 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked paiN | 63c | 680.73$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.87 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN | 64c | 676.03$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…cf41backed paiN | 36c | 661.05$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.46 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Astralis | 58c | 659$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.22 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Astralis | 65c | 644.59$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Astralis | 43c | 639.96$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.13 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN | 54c | 637.44$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Astralis | 52c | 632.69$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…9551backed paiN | 43c | 613.17$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2paiN won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.