TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f90…8ed1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked Tricksters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$477.55
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$83.6
Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs Next UP (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked Next UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$114.7
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$836
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$254.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,195.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$182.59
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9,848.73
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3,301.26
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,674Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,988.53
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,286.34
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$745.27
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$193.39
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,252.64
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.72
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$59.59
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,741Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$3,621.36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.28
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,963.42
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,201
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$168.78
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$746.59
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,553Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$2,129.79
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10,263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$5,178.87
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.04
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,601.87
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.62
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.44
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.86
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Top Esports Challenger (BO1) - Asia Masters Group Abacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$249.02
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.32
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$54.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$99.9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$68.98
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.11
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 4 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.56
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.35
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$777
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.44
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$571.64
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-81.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.17
Valorant: DRX vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$67.78
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,054.74
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.78
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.1
Valorant: Trace Esports vs TEC Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.91
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,313.68
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,064Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$2,188.12
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$1,066.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.