TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof MIBR, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves73c22,744$16,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,102.6652155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves47c22,245$10,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,790.1154751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed MIBR54c21,260$11,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,5024247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f90…8ed1backed MIBR53c10,026$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,313.68812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-81.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR19c5,065$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.661,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed MIBR43c4,612$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97028151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves59c4,438$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.4326650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR39c4,120$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.0868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR33c3,135$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.6256357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR41c2,007$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.8665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR36c1,568$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.0453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR28c1,418$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5353355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves43c1,301$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.4893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves48c1,177$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.2125660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed 100 Thieves52c1,117$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.078066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR29c1,036$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7368949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed 100 Thieves61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed 100 Thieves48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52032047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves45c899.68$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8231153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed MIBR51c861.98$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.162347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves51c857.21$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.8188844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR41c723.16$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.621,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed 100 Thieves49c697.92$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.018757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed MIBR11c595.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.961118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid+18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves67c579.96$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.461,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked 100 Thieves50c536.36$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.362948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked MIBR51c527.49$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.692138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed MIBR53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MIBR43c479.16$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3429151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MIBR29c469.7$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9177929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x753b…5484backed 100 Thieves58c429.16$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.161258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e1…e05cbacked MIBR43c420.59$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves49c399.97$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…ba12backed 100 Thieves61c329.49$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.553754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked MIBR32c300$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957437.8%28 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed MIBR36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed 100 Thieves61c295.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.084755.3%26 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed MIBR51c281.78$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.719737.1%36 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed MIBR25c281.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves62c276.21$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9445250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed MIBR55c267.27$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475238.5%20 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked MIBR46c255.75$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9236138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves49c255.71$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7125336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed 100 Thieves74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed MIBR45c240.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9413449.3%66 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR49c229.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked 100 Thieves49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked MIBR51c199.92$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.967443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves60c174.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed 100 Thieves51c145.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.39654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked MIBR38c132.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4231227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed 100 Thieves60c104.27$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1732261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked MIBR53c100.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.319148.4%44 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad05…71eabacked MIBR20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.160%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed 100 Thieves48c99.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.836045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed MIBR38c95.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.117254.2%39 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed 100 Thieves47c95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3523055.7%128 W · 102 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked MIBR35c93.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312261.5%75 W · 47 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MIBR28c88.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.041,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves70c83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9999846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR43c81.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.381,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked MIBR29c79.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked MIBR24c78.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed MIBR51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402420.8%5 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-54.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.871,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed 100 Thieves49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2514047.9%67 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52c8…6e5fbacked MIBR51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.72850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa30e…7153backed MIBR51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed 100 Thieves53c68.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed 100 Thieves46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ec…5633backed MIBR51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-53.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed 100 Thieves52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.698259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked MIBR24c50.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed MIBR52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed MIBR55c32.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812350.4%62 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked 100 Thieves64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.484838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc443…60fcbacked 100 Thieves63c29.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves58c27.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5294361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ba…9453backed 100 Thieves50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked 100 Thieves46c22.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1920439.2%80 W · 124 L-18.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c5d…d5dfbacked 100 Thieves51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.576355.6%35 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked MIBR51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed 100 Thieves64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.