Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51cc6a7111f860489e74b47dbd99ff7c6d01b11b8648c8991ff3c700232240e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof MIBR, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR | 56c | 5,146$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.01 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed MIBR | 47c | 5,134$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.42 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 4,202$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.08 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 3,194$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.49 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed MIBR | 49c | 2,761$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 2,634$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.56 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 2,544$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.11 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,686$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.9 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,072$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.36 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MIBR | 56c | 1,053$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.89 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 52c | 932$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.6 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked MIBR | 53c | 713.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 606.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 604$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.9 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR | 38c | 564.84$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.62 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 562.44$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 544.16$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.57 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MIBR | 47c | 520.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.27 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed MIBR | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MIBR | 25c | 475.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 411.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…ace5backed MIBR | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked MIBR | 51c | 386.62$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MIBR | 40c | 331.65$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed MIBR | 54c | 326.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR | 38c | 326.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed MIBR | 55c | 292.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 276.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed MIBR | 20c | 273.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 247.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 242.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…5633backed MIBR | 47c | 231.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…6e5fbacked MIBR | 33c | 220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIBR | 41c | 219$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MIBR | 40c | 215.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 204$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 188.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 165.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR | 40c | 161$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 444 | 41.9%186 W · 258 L | -22.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 157.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 135.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR | 57c | 133$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MIBR | 58c | 125.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 124.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed MIBR | 43c | 118.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed MIBR | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 113.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 112.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked MIBR | 42c | 100.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed MIBR | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked MIBR | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed MIBR | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…ed76backed MIBR | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed MIBR | 44c | 89.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 518 | 49.6%257 W · 261 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 81.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 55c | 79.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed MIBR | 26c | 77.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked MIBR | 34c | 76.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed MIBR | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR | 37c | 57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed MIBR | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa30e…7153backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed MIBR | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked MIBR | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MIBR | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed MIBR | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked MIBR | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…b9d4backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked MIBR | 57c | 24.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…5bbabacked MIBR | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MIBR | 68c | 21.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.