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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof MIBR, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves46c52,157$24,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,007.1854851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked 100 Thieves52c51,210$26,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,493.9713651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MIBR54c27,035$14,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,712.3626249.6%130 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MIBR57c20,217$11,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,471.714740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked 100 Thieves43c17,500$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,949.945358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves43c15,209$6,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,713.2529956.5%169 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR56c13,597$7,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.3652455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed MIBR46c13,011$6,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,001.595242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MIBR40c6,748$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.5653659.1%317 W · 219 L+41.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked MIBR57c5,480$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR46c4,643$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.41,43451.1%733 W · 701 L+48.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed MIBR30c4,467$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3403141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR39c4,084$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.4366059.5%393 W · 267 L+51.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MIBR56c3,604$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.2233153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR37c3,602$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.2128541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked MIBR57c3,553$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.952433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MIBR57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves44c3,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96015850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR46c3,017$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.061,39647.3%661 W · 735 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MIBR35c3,007$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.0335142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR39c2,999$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.3268758.4%401 W · 286 L+56.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked 100 Thieves54c2,912$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves44c2,798$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.7439842%167 W · 231 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR45c2,780$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.5268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MIBR46c2,687$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.1457757.7%333 W · 244 L+35.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed MIBR57c2,551$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4543339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked MIBR56c2,484$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.046946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked MIBR59c2,371$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed 100 Thieves44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.731637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed 100 Thieves47c2,246$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.7511258%65 W · 47 L+12.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked MIBR37c2,187$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81114452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed 100 Thieves41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.9914158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves44c1,913$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.0231153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR48c1,718$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.4754555.4%302 W · 243 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked MIBR58c1,532$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.241650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed 100 Thieves42c1,527$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.411255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MIBR58c1,487$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.528847.6%137 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed MIBR57c1,380$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.638739.1%34 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed 100 Thieves44c1,329$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.45747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR55c1,240$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.1494648.1%455 W · 491 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89e…d4a7backed MIBR58c1,210$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed 100 Thieves45c1,204$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.427445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves60c1,200$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.9361253.9%330 W · 282 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed MIBR57c1,161$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.878934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed MIBR56c1,156$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.343125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-46.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked MIBR57c1,154$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6588950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed 100 Thieves45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6052147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed MIBR57c1,055$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed MIBR48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed MIBR57c1,035$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5907342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed MIBR49c1,028$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7428640.9%117 W · 169 L-26.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed MIBR54c991$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.8219240.1%77 W · 115 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves53c982.62$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.145250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed MIBR56c970$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.25354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves44c955.4$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.0226061.2%159 W · 101 L+23.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MIBR38c932.04$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.429151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed MIBR54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves49c800$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.7324550.2%123 W · 122 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed MIBR57c798.04$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.882347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked MIBR55c795$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.152850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed MIBR56c786.05$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.675228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed MIBR48c778.95$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.23836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked MIBR18c760$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.86317.5%11 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves59c751.68$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.4532863.1%207 W · 121 L+33.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5874…f58fbacked MIBR44c746.55$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.043748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked 100 Thieves51c738.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5212147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked MIBR57c737.91$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.611833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked MIBR44c729.9$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1721136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves43c727.99$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9552449.8%261 W · 263 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 100 Thieves57c717$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.413759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed MIBR43c696.54$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9226932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR50c693.59$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.541,32943.6%580 W · 749 L-47.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed MIBR23c639.15$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1119337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed MIBR30c634.8$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.446755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked 100 Thieves78c630$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.21338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR50c619.66$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3845041.6%187 W · 263 L-23.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked MIBR55c594.44$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed MIBR57c577$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed 100 Thieves44c568.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1418947.1%89 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked 100 Thieves46c540.66$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed MIBR58c540$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed MIBR60c531.18$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8315947.8%76 W · 83 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked MIBR48c515.89$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.637231.9%23 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR55c506.84$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed MIBR56c500.1$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0625453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a1…378abacked MIBR60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed 100 Thieves44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed MIBR58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked 100 Thieves44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed MIBR61c499.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9920160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9936648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed MIBR37c492.53$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1427947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed MIBR59c492.06$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR35c490.73$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.711,37539%536 W · 839 L-59.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked MIBR37c485$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4331327.8%87 W · 226 L-33.6wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed MIBR57c479.82$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.57855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MIBR41c469.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7155442.2%234 W · 320 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed MIBR15c458.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed MIBR36c456.27$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9737545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.