TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeafe…c310

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT9742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
First Blood in Game 2?backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+252.3%+$75.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+400.6%+$280.43
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.1
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+142.9%+$128.59
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+335.3%+$65.99
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT5228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$29.43
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.65
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$72.56
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$149.94
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.75
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.95
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.67
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.24
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 4 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.63
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$212.63
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$427.28
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$226
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$204.37
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$146.37
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+82%+$177.98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$152.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$199
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.