Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38855453eeba7f4bbfef797add99621c82fa4f554fbb793424f0640f3a8d6c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 1,050$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 25c | 761.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 683.44$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.49 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 677.64$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 554.44$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 549.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 437.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 38c | 411.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 374.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 311$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 151.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 133.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…2a83backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 128.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 97.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 21c | 94.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 86.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 85.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…057ebacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 71.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 69.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 65.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 65.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 59.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 45.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 40.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 38.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 31.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Eternal Fire | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…01ecbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.