Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8d3b7c86701bc7a6277791ee7b93d1fd8645f8f4a76779058753114d469a738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 3,919$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.69 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 2,393$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 1,868$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.87 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Gentle Mates | 18c | 1,385$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 1,200$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.47 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 1,049$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.01 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 1,043$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 982.24$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.59 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gentle Mates | 40c | 711.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.02 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 644.09$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 577.69$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 478.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.68 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 457.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.11 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 418.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 417.9$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 415$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.3 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 365.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 359.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 310.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.85 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e38…54b6backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 295.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 295.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Gentle Mates | 10c | 281.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 238.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 207.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 156.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Gentle Mates | 40c | 151.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 141.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 125.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Gentle Mates | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 98.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Gentle Mates | 21c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…6b45backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 76.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 69.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 66.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 65.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 50.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…a327backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…93dfbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 43.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 43.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 42.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 42.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 39.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 38.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…e596backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 37.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 37.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.