TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x931f…a327

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$24.36
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$37.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$100.87
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$44.87
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.39
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
France vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.02
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.77
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$51.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$283.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$36.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.