Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53889a7d81d3250eca78ad6cc3479e1ca95948f7611ae27369e2334e5ecaab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 63c | 11,452$7,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225.84 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion | 36c | 8,103$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 50c | 6,377$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.76 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked GamerLegion | 67c | 5,984$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.64 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed GamerLegion | 33c | 5,461$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.2 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 4,800$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed GamerLegion | 30c | 4,725$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked GamerLegion | 26c | 4,569$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.59 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 51c | 4,550$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.98 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 42c | 3,332$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.28 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 55c | 3,273$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.14 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 49c | 2,817$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.33 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GamerLegion | 22c | 2,771$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.74 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 68c | 2,422$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.1 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 54c | 2,293$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.91 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora | 49c | 2,249$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.53 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed GamerLegion | 56c | 2,035$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.7 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed GamerLegion | 45c | 1,800$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.13 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed GamerLegion | 29c | 1,756$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.41 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed GamerLegion | 46c | 1,696$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.76 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,664$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.68 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion | 38c | 1,606$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.52 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked GamerLegion | 60c | 1,502$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.24 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 57c | 1,500$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.13 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed GamerLegion | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 59c | 1,470$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 39c | 1,455$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.25 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GamerLegion | 36c | 1,400$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.82 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 1,250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 69c | 1,212$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.86 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Aurora | 52c | 1,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.4 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed GamerLegion | 63c | 1,100$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed GamerLegion | 36c | 1,005$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.75 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Aurora | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 68c | 986.36$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.56 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed GamerLegion | 34c | 942.53$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed GamerLegion | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.4 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 43c | 898$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.94 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 76c | 848.9$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.78 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GamerLegion | 51c | 806.42$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.38 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 65c | 805.02$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.28 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Aurora | 69c | 804.42$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed GamerLegion | 35c | 755.17$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.31 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Aurora | 71c | 750$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Aurora | 45c | 746.27$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.27 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked GamerLegion | 56c | 675$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.21 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed GamerLegion | 56c | 674.29$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.31 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed GamerLegion | 23c | 667.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 43c | 621.84$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.28 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked GamerLegion | 7c | 620$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked GamerLegion | 54c | 609.93$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 61c | 600$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed GamerLegion | 6c | 600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 54c | 599.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.77 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed GamerLegion | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion | 41c | 497.36$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.52 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked GamerLegion | 57c | 483.38$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed GamerLegion | 28c | 472.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora | 65c | 449.29$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed GamerLegion | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 64c | 427.77$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.89 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora | 55c | 422.25$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Aurora | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed GamerLegion | 57c | 400$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed GamerLegion | 29c | 378.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 49c | 377.73$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 45c | 367.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Aurora | 62c | 355$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 72c | 346.18$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 59c | 328.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Aurora | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Aurora | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora | 70c | 276.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Aurora | 47c | 265.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 58c | 262.46$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed GamerLegion | 73c | 255.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.03 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Aurora | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Aurora | 65c | 249.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 44c | 230.07$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked GamerLegion | 35c | 226.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 64c | 214.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 209.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 207$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Aurora | 48c | 206.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Aurora | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 50c | 199.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed GamerLegion | 24c | 188$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed GamerLegion | 17c | 182.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora | 54c | 182.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed GamerLegion | 15c | 173$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Aurora | 48c | 171$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Aurora | 69c | 170$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Aurora | 52c | 159.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed GamerLegion | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Aurora | 72c | 145.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed GamerLegion | 57c | 143.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Aurora | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…4b82backed GamerLegion | 60c | 136.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed GamerLegion | 38c | 135$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group AAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)Aurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.