TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auroraof Aurora, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora70c9,740$6,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.41,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed GamerLegion30c5,905$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked GamerLegion23c5,718$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.4610751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed GamerLegion16c4,500$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4730336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora69c3,500$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.9953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Aurora73c3,373$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.2796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora75c3,007$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.1179859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora77c2,655$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60851364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked GamerLegion34c2,250$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.1480256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked GamerLegion20c2,222$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.921,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Aurora70c2,185$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.842,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora75c1,946$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.3286659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion32c1,909$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8837945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora69c1,672$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.331,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion26c1,519$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.441,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion28c1,453$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.91,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora72c1,268$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9295342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora80c1,241$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.492,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion26c1,124$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.211,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora80c1,064$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.361,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GamerLegion36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed GamerLegion28c845$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.655751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Aurora64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion29c680.49$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7381029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed GamerLegion30c670.3$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0958744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Aurora71c600.78$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.461,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Aurora67c499.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.837655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked Aurora71c399.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1168469%58 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora76c398.9$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1896645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Aurora77c369.25$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.881,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1172035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked GamerLegion36c351.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1461456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Aurora76c327.96$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7122363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44e…7111backed Aurora71c321.64$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.244266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Aurora77c315$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4550749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked GamerLegion30c305.46$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6460646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed GamerLegion36c293.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5858356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed GamerLegion11c250$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.551544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Aurora64c242$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1219352.3%101 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed GamerLegion29c216.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7416242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked GamerLegion37c192$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4258250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Aurora64c171$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5624138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Aurora75c170.26$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora79c169.04$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.891,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GamerLegion22c168$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora78c164.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.681,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked GamerLegion23c156.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.230054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora77c147.55$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.122,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion29c136.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.891,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked GamerLegion19c118.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8637223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked GamerLegion30c110.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6540534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked Aurora69c109.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3449644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora71c104$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1640051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Aurora79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2754659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked GamerLegion30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Aurora64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3665863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed GamerLegion28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2868649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion25c88.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion24c88.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.361,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed GamerLegion25c83.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6656548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed GamerLegion24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf938…1249backed Aurora79c82.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6217360.7%105 W · 68 L-13.6wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked GamerLegion28c71.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209948.5%48 W · 51 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed GamerLegion30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked GamerLegion27c55.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0916954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed GamerLegion30c53.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora77c51.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7345750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed GamerLegion22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117330.1%52 W · 121 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Aurora80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked GamerLegion36c41.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.976753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Aurora74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5422961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Aurora73c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2635430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Aurora73c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2665337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Aurora73c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked Aurora79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9736761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Aurora80c25.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.01887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Aurora71c22.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5439042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…3f1bbacked Aurora70c19.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Aurora71c18.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.266331.7%20 W · 43 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Aurora67c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9119849%97 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.